SS Futures Pull Back Slightly, Market Confidence Weakens, Stainless Steel Trading Sluggish [SMM Stainless Steel Daily Report]

Published: Nov 27, 2025 18:22
[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review: SS Futures Pull Back Slightly, Market Sentiment Weakens, Stainless Steel Trading Sluggish] SMM November 27 news, SS futures showed a trend of stopping rising and pulling back. Today, macro tailwinds were largely digested, and SHFE nickel futures pulled back. Due to the already weak fundamentals of stainless steel, SS futures followed the decline, with the intraday low again falling below 12,400 yuan/mt. In the spot market, due to the decline in SS futures and relatively concentrated previous transactions, market trading weakened again today. Cost side, high-grade NPI prices continued to fall, loosening cost support for stainless steel. Additionally, market doubts about the actual implementation of steel mill production cuts led to another weakening in the stainless steel market. This week, social inventory saw some buildup, up 0.64% WoW to 946,000 mt. The most-traded SS futures contract stopped falling and recovered. At 10:30 am, SS2601 was quoted at 12,395 yuan/mt, down 55 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. In Wuxi, spot premiums/discounts for 304/2B were in the range of 325-525 yuan/mt. In the spot market, the average price for Wuxi cold-rolled 201/2B coil was 8,025 yuan/mt; for cold-rolled mill edge 304/2B coil, the Wuxi average was 12,625 yuan/mt, and the Foshan average was 12,650 yuan/mt; for cold-rolled 316L/2B coil in Wuxi, it was 23,800 yuan/mt, and in Foshan, 23,800 yuan/mt; for hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coil, Wuxi reported 23,250 yuan/mt; for cold-rolled 430/2B in both Wuxi and Foshan...

SMM November 27 news, SS futures showed a trend of stopping the rise and pulling back. Today, macro tailwinds were largely digested, and SHFE nickel futures pulled back. Given the already weak fundamentals of stainless steel, SS futures followed suit, with intraday lows once again probing below 12,400 yuan/mt. In the spot market, due to the decline in SS futures and concentrated transactions in the previous period, market transactions weakened again today. Cost side, high-grade NPI prices continued to fall, leading to a loosening of cost support for stainless steel. Additionally, doubts about the actual implementation of production cuts by steel mills led to another weakening in the stainless steel market. This week, social inventory saw an inventory buildup, rising 0.64% WoW to 946,000 mt.

The most-traded SS futures contract stopped falling and began to recover. At 10:30 AM, SS2601 was quoted at 12,395 yuan/mt, down 55 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. The spot premiums/discounts for 304/2B in Wuxi ranged between 325-525 yuan/mt. In the spot market, Wuxi cold-rolled 201/2B coils were quoted at 8,025 yuan/mt; cold-rolled 304/2B coils, Wuxi average 12,625 yuan/mt, Foshan average 12,650 yuan/mt; Wuxi cold-rolled 316L/2B coils 23,800 yuan/mt, Foshan 23,800 yuan/mt; hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coils, Wuxi 23,250 yuan/mt; Wuxi and Foshan cold-rolled 430/2B coils both 7,600 yuan/mt.

Recently, after the US Fed released dovish signals, the likelihood of an interest rate cut in December increased, potentially leading to further easing of US dollar liquidity. Driven by this macro tailwind, the overall metal futures market strengthened. Among them, SS futures ended their continuous decline since late October, rebounding from the lowest point since 2020. Meanwhile, spot prices also rebounded. Influenced by the "rush to buy amid continuous price rise and hold back amid price downturn" mentality, as well as the actions of trading firms engaging in both spot and futures market to purchase spot to close out short positions, and the release of previously suppressed demand due to cautious observation during the price drop, market demand clearly recovered. Supply side, recent reports indicated that multiple steel mills planned production cuts. These cuts expanded from 200-series stainless steel to 400-series, with a certain mill in Guangxi planning a maintenance shutdown in December. Although the final actual reduction in production remains to be seen, a general decrease in stainless steel production seems inevitable. Cost side, high-grade NPI prices further declined. Despite falling below the cost line for domestic NPI producers, it is difficult to gain support in a weak market, further weakening the cost support for stainless steel. Although stainless steel prices have risen recently due to macro tailwinds and news of production cuts, the weakening cost support and persistently soft year-end demand still cast a shadow of market pessimism, posing a risk of pullback.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
[SMM Analysis] Rigid Demand Remained Steady During the Peak March Season, Stainless Steel Inventory Edged Up Slightly While Destocking Pressure Persisted
Mar 26, 2026 17:36
[SMM Analysis] Rigid Demand Remained Steady During the Peak March Season, Stainless Steel Inventory Edged Up Slightly While Destocking Pressure Persisted
Read More
[SMM Analysis] Rigid Demand Remained Steady During the Peak March Season, Stainless Steel Inventory Edged Up Slightly While Destocking Pressure Persisted
[SMM Analysis] Rigid Demand Remained Steady During the Peak March Season, Stainless Steel Inventory Edged Up Slightly While Destocking Pressure Persisted
Mar 26, 2026 17:36
[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] News-Driven Disturbances Pushed SS Futures Higher, While Confidence in the Stainless Steel Spot Market Gradually Recovered
Mar 24, 2026 14:24
[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] News-Driven Disturbances Pushed SS Futures Higher, While Confidence in the Stainless Steel Spot Market Gradually Recovered
Read More
[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] News-Driven Disturbances Pushed SS Futures Higher, While Confidence in the Stainless Steel Spot Market Gradually Recovered
[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] News-Driven Disturbances Pushed SS Futures Higher, While Confidence in the Stainless Steel Spot Market Gradually Recovered
[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] News-Driven Disturbances Pushed SS Futures Higher to Test the Upside, Confidence in the Stainless Steel Spot Market Gradually Recovered SMM News, March 24: SS futures rose strongly. Affected by market fluctuations triggered by news of geopolitical conflict yesterday, SS futures rose sharply in the night session, and the daytime session maintained a fluctuating but relatively strong trend, closing at 14,290 yuan/mt by midday. In the spot market, boosted by the sharp rise in SS futures, market confidence somewhat recovered; although the increase in traders' spot quotations was limited, both inquiries and transactions showed signs of recovery during the week. The current market is heavily disturbed by news factors, and changes in the geopolitical conflict still need close attention. The most-traded SS futures contract strengthened and moved higher. At 10:15 a.m., SS2605 was quoted at 14,305 yuan/mt, up 125 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot premiums for 304/2B in Wuxi were in the range of 115-315 yuan/mt. In the spot market, the average price of cold-rolled 201/2B coils in Wuxi rose by 50 yuan/mt; for cold-rolled trim-edge 304/2B coils, the average price in Wuxi rose by 50 yuan/mt, while the average price in Foshan was unchanged; cold-rolled 316L/2B coils in Wuxi were unchanged; for hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coils, Wuxi quotations were unchanged; cold-rolled 430/2B coils in both Wuxi and Foshan were also unchanged. As the market entered the traditional peak consumption season of "Golden March and Silver April," although the stainless steel market ushered in a seasonal recovery window, end-use demand fell short of expectations, downstream wait-and-see sentiment gradually intensified, and the procurement side only maintained a restocking pace for rigid demand, with none of the transaction momentum typically seen in the peak season emerging. The market's view on stainless steel prices...
Mar 24, 2026 14:24
[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] SS Futures Fluctuated Higher, and Stainless Steel Spot Prices Followed the Upward Trend
Mar 23, 2026 13:22
[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] SS Futures Fluctuated Higher, and Stainless Steel Spot Prices Followed the Upward Trend
Read More
[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] SS Futures Fluctuated Higher, and Stainless Steel Spot Prices Followed the Upward Trend
[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] SS Futures Fluctuated Higher, and Stainless Steel Spot Prices Followed the Upward Trend
[SMM Stainless Steel Daily Review] SS Futures Oscillated Higher, Stainless Steel Spot Prices Rose in Tandem SMM News, March 23: SS futures oscillated higher and tested upward. Although the escalation of geopolitical conflicts in Iran weighed on the broader nonferrous futures, nickel and SS futures maintained a strong upward trend, closing at 14,140 yuan/mt by the midday break. In the spot market, agents of steel mills raised quotations, and coupled with the strong performance of SS futures, stainless steel spot prices moved higher during the day. Driven by the mentality of rush to buy amid continuous price rise and hold back amid price downturn, downstream end-users showed improved inquiry and trading activity. At present, stainless steel mills are under significant cost pressure, and the market holds strong expectations for cost support to prices. Although macro factors may limit any substantial price rise, room for a pullback is also constrained. The most-traded SS futures contract strengthened and moved higher. At 10:15 a.m., SS2605 was quoted at 14,180 yuan/mt, up 30 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. Spot premiums for 304/2B in Wuxi were in the range of 190-390 yuan/mt. In the spot market, the average price of cold-rolled 201/2B coil in Wuxi rose by 50 yuan/mt; for cold-rolled trim-edge 304/2B coil, the average price in Wuxi was flat, while that in Foshan rose by 50 yuan/mt; cold-rolled 316L/2B coil in Wuxi was unchanged; hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coil was quoted flat in Wuxi; cold-rolled 430/2B coil in both Wuxi and Foshan was also unchanged. As the traditional September-October peak season approaches, the stainless steel market is seeing a seasonal recovery window, but end-use demand has fallen short of expectations. Wait-and-see sentiment among downstream players has gradually intensified, and proc……
Mar 23, 2026 13:22
SS Futures Pull Back Slightly, Market Confidence Weakens, Stainless Steel Trading Sluggish [SMM Stainless Steel Daily Report] - Shanghai Metals Market (SMM)